But, as Nate Silver of FiveThirtyEight observes, "That may not be the pollsters' fault if voters changed or made up their mind while casting their ballots, as sometimes happens for third parties whose viability is questionable.
I've already bet a pizza that the folks at FiveThirtyEight have the right model. One of the differences between UK Election 2010 and American politics is betting on the outcome. In the UK, the Telegraph's UK General Election 2010 Opinion Poll...
Or, we can blame the swingometers for telling LibDem supporters that their vote doesn't matter, while giving Labour supporters the false impression that the party "has a fairly large buffer zone before facing total Armageddon," as Nate Silver of...
Silver then posted an item on his website, fivethirtyeight.com, that highlighted Berman's data -- and the rest is history. He's working with Silver and Renard Sexton on The FiveThirtyEight UK forecasting model.
For example, I'm following FiveThirtyEight, which has already written 10 stories looking at swing voters, redistricting or proposed changes to the electoral system. According to BBC News, Prime Minister Gordon Brown has confirmed that UK Election...
